Hillary Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania over Barack Obama is shrinking.
The latest poll from Rasmussen Reports shows Clinton leading Obama by a mere five percentage points 47 percent to 42 percent. A week ago, she lead by 10 points and a month ago she was ahead by 15 points.
This is unbelievable. Clinton has the support of Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell and Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter. The state’s large blue collar base supposedly makes it Clinton country. What happened? Did Obama’s bus tour and horrible bowling charm the voters of my home state? Apparently so.
“If Obama is able to pull off an upset in the Keystone State, it would effectively end the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination.
Tensions clearly remain in the contest. If Obama is nominated, just 56% of Clinton supporters say they are likely to vote for him against John McCain. Forty percent (40%) of Clinton voters in Pennsylvania say they are not likely to vote for Obama.
On the other hand, if Clinton is nominated, just 67% of Obama supporters say they are likely to vote for her against McCain. Twenty-nine percent (29%) are not.
Just 21% of Pennsylvania’s Primary Voters say that Clinton should drop out of the race while 18% would like Obama to leave. Those figures are similar to results from a recent national survey. Fifty-one percent (51%) in Pennsylvania say it’s very likely the contest will not be resolved until the convention in Denver. That figure includes 61% of Clinton voters and 38% of those who support Obama. Overall, another 33% say a convention decision is Somewhat Likely.
If Clinton loses Pennsylvania, the party is over. Then again, she may be laying the groundwork for running for governor of New York. Those Clintons are crafty that way.